Source:  http://cr4.globalspec.com/thread/29317#newcomments

Hello Members,

Please go through this BBC story of the Chinese built/launched communications satallite for the Nigerian government. Here http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/7726951.stm

The satellite was launched about two years ago and it is confirmed packed up.

Apart from the indicated power problem, what could be other causes of the satellite failure?

Cheers,

ethobil

Observations

The BBC article stated that the Nigerian satellite

1. … was limited because the type of frequency it used was disturbed by clouds in the atmosphere, and did not work properly in Nigeria’s rainy season or during the Harmattan, when clouds of dust blow down from the Sahara, he said.
2. … also operated on frequencies already allocated to other companies and interfered with other providers’ equipment.
3. … controllers shut the satellite down because it was having problems with its power supply, the government announced.

The observations in #1 and #2 are items that I learned to look out for before I graduated with my Bachelors.

Background for Observation #2:  Operating a satellite on another satellite’s frequency is both extraordinarily rude and stupid.  Interference from the satellite assigned that frequency will make both satellites useless for significant portions of their design life.  Obviously this is to be avoided and there are agencies to regulate these frequencies.

Background for Observation #1:  This is amatuer hour stuff.  Anyone with satellite TV or satellite radio knows that weather interferes with transmissions.  The thing is, the impact of weather can be minimized if not eliminated if you pick the correct frequency.

You may be asking why I addressed #2 first and then #1.  The answer is this, Observaton #2 shows that the Nigerians didn’t do even the most basic homework and contact the proper authorities.  Observation #1 reinforces this notion through an ignorance of basic satellite operations and limitations.

Observations #1 & #2 demonstrate that on the Nigerian customer (at least those in charge) didn’t know the first thing about what they were buying.  Questions about operations, lifetime, and weather are pretty basic and I learned to ask those questions before graduating with my Bachelors.

The final Observation

Observation #3 is that the satellite was shut down for power problems.  This could be something like a battery failure, power subsystem failure, solar array failure, or ADCS failure (which could point the arrays or the whole satellite the wrong way).

Given that the Nigerians didn’t do their homework - to know which frequency to use for their communications satellite, nor did they do enough homework to contact the correct regulatory agencies - before buying an expensive piece of hardware it only makes sense that they didn’t do their homework regarding system testing.

My guess is that the Chinese bid cheap re-using a satellite they designed for someone else.  This is common practice to reduce cost and risk.  But there are always custom changes when requirements change or new, updated hardware is added to the design.  If you don’t test the integrated system properly the chances of failure are high.  The Nigerian satellite was probably a recycled telecom satellite from another customer and some component of power system (like bateries) or the ADCS system (like attitude sensors or thrusters) was replaced.

An example of what I’m thinking…

An ADCS sensor, lets use a gyro for now, is replaced.  The new sensor comes from the same manufactuerer with the same power, size, and mounting requirements.  However, this new sensor provides its output in a different coordinate system such that 2 of the 3 axes (X & Y) are identical to the previous sensor but the 3rd axis (Z) is -1 of the original.  Without thorough design effort and proper integrated system testing, this -1 is easy to miss.  Then the whole satellite ends up pointed away from the sun and runs out of power.

The Nigerians missed the easy stuff, why would we assume they got the hard stuff, like proper testing, correct?

No one cares about nuclear power once it’s in space.  Only on it’s way to space.

Radioactive Contamination

Nuclear power in space comes from an RTG (Radioisotope Thermoelectric Generator).  The RTG is powered by a radioactive isotope.  The isotope decays and produces heat in its decay.  That heat produces electricity through the use of thermocouples.

For space harware, the main threat from an RTG is that explosive destruction of the hardware containing the radioactive material would spread radioactive material.  The RTG containers are designed to survive this type of event so the odds of contamination are small.

What happens when the container is destroyed…

If the container were to break up the estimated odds of contamination are 1 in 10.  The alpha radiation that the most common RTG fuel cannot penetrate the skin but if it were inhaled it would do serious damage to internal organs.

There were protests when Cassini launched…

People were scared that if the Cassini launch failed then the radioactive fuel would find its way into the atmosphere and people would inhale it.  While this shouldn’t be taken lightly the launches are generally conducted over the ocean.  The winds in the atmosphere may disperse the radioactive material.

Obviously if the launch vehicle travels through all of the atmosphere it is unlikely that we can wait for a launch window where all of the prevailing winds are blowing out to sea.  This dispersion shouldn’t be taken lightly but understand that the fuel most US satellites use is only a problem when inhaled or ingested.  If the particles fall in the sea or on the land then it poses no threat - to people.

This time Phoenix stays dead…

Where the Phoenix lander is on Mars it’s winter.  Phoenix ran out of power recently.  The 2 rovers, Spirit and Opportunity, have to fight for their own survival every Martian winter.  Why?  Because they use solar arrays.  Solar arrays that degrade with time.  Solar arrays that degrade with the deposition of dust.  Solar arrays that don’t produce much power when the Sun isn’t very high in the sky.

Power constraints have hampered interplanetary probes in the past.  The problem is that once a probe gets out near Jupiter there just isn’t enough sun light to do much.  Even large arrays can’t entirely overcome the problem of “not enough light”.

We have $100 million missions that end because of power

We have missions to Mars and Jupiter and beyond.  Some like Cassini use nuclear power.  Others use solar power.  Some missions, like Phoenix, have ended not because of mechanical failure, communications failure, or a lack of good science that still needs doing but because they have too little power.

A lack of power has not stopped the Voyager missions decades after their launch.  A lack of power doesn’t need to kill or maim anymore Mars missions.  A Radioisotope Thermoelectric Generator (RTG) is the answer.

Next post: What is an RTG?

Next Next post: Why people are scared.

Brain Drain

For decades now the US has been the place for the best and brightest from other countries to study.  I sizable chunk decide to stay especially in engineering.  As a result when various companies and the US gov decided they needed more engineers they simply imported them.

God forbid we

1. actually pay and treat engineers like they are professionals
2. give them something to do other than shuffle paper work and dodge management

And yet some people still lamented the lack of native born engineers graduating from our schools.  Some were so blind as to wonder why so few were graduating.

Well it’s time to start paying the bill…

India’s Space Program

A large chunk of our imported engineers come from India.  Often they come here because opportunities are limited in India for people born to the wrong caste.  So the people that can get to the US come over, study engineering, and stay.  But it is harder and harder for them to get jobs in Aerospace since most of the Aerospace companies have chosen to pursue defense work.

Now India has started its own space program while the US program slowly decays.  A number of those Indian engineers that stayed here are asking if there are jobs in their home country working on the space program.

The economy in the US is tanking making jobs harder to come by.  The US space program and surrounding Aerospace industry is less welcoming than it used to be.  And many would like to go home if they can find good job opportunities.

Reverse Brain Drain

The emerging space programs of China and India are a serious threat to the US technological superiority.  It may be years before the programs show a string of years with real funding and enthusiasm at home.  However, once those programs are established a much larger percentage of those foreign born engineers that come here to study will go back home when they are finished.

We will have fewer engineers in the coming years.  Without something inspirational to bring native US kids back into engineering it will only get worse.  I’ve complained about the pay and nature of the business where companies lay off large numbers of people every time their sales hiccup for a quarter but that’s not really the problem.

We can’t keep expecting to drain the brains of India and China

The problem is a lack of inspiration and vision.  As India and China demonstrate space programs that are a point of national pride they will become a more and more appealing career prospect.   As such it will become harder and harder to keep young foreign born engineers from going back to their country of origin.  However, the US lacks any serious goal for aspiring engineers to tackle.

There are inspirations out there, just no one with vision AND money

I’m a fan of space exploration and I think serious exploration - not just toy cars on Mars - would inspire.  But so would serious nano-tech, artificial intelligence, robotics (like Honda’s Asimo), alternative energy, and several other fields.

Instead we have risk averse companies who have reduced their R&D to incremental improvement shops.  The gov is just as risk averse and every satellite/R&D program is just 1 baby step better than the last.  In Aerospace the holy grail is propulsion.  In propulsion we’ve barely invented the wheel let alone an automobile.  Until the X-Prize was won almost no company spent any money on even incrementally better propulsion.  Even today the total dollar amount is a pittance.

If we want to continue to lead the world in technology (and by extension the world economy) then we need to get serious.  We need to choose 1 or 2 major project that can change everything - like alternative energy, Sci-Fi style propulsion, etc.  We need to get serious about real basic scientific research and serious engineering R&D.  You don’t make great leaps forward with risk averse baby steps.

Thankfully there’s at least DARPA, if only we could get about 1000 more of those going…

Here’s the article that inspired this rant:

Source Article

The argument among space enthusiasts…

Space exploration funds are very limited and have been for decades.  I haven’t worked onsite at NASA for years but the last number I remember is something like $15B for NASA’s annual budget.  This sounds like a lot but with the better part of $1B devoted to each Shuttle launch $15B doesn’t last long.

So the classic argument among space enthusiasts is should we bother with human space flight?  It’s far more expensive than robotic space exploration.  Can humans bring enough extra to the mission that it is worth the extra expense and risk?

The risks of human space flight

The most obvious risk to manned space flight is a fiery and most spectacular death.  It is most likely to happen on launch or re-entry.  If we start landing on the surface of other planets then that landing will be risky as will any surface exploration.

When we lose a space vehicle meant for manned space flight we lose people and an extremely expensive vehicle.  The people, at least to date, are very well trained, very intelligent people.  Often they have PhDs in engineering and years if not decades of training.  The vehicle is extraordinarily expensive because of its ability to support human life in space for any significant time duration.  Additionally, there are redundant systems and user interfaces.

Robotics, the cheap and (largely) risk free way to explore space

Robots are cheap.  Robots that are lost in exploration don’t have crying widows; there is no lost human potential.  And robots like Spirit and Opportunity offer glimpses into greatness.  Robots designed to survive months have run around the planet for years despite “injuries” and degraded solar panel performance.

I don’t think proper space exploration can be done without robots.  They allow us to explore without risk to human life.  They provide us with information beyond our own senses.  We spend billions of dollars to send people without spending an extra couple of hundred million on support robots?

Robots are essential but exploration with robots alone misses the point

If I had my druthers I’d work on rovers like Spirit and Opportunity.  I’d work on adding lots and lots of artificial intelligence to them.  How much more area would Spirit and Opportunity cover with smart fault detection and robust automatic use of remaining resources?  How much more area if we could say go here and leave the obstacle avoidance to the rover rather than having to move it a little at a time and wait for the time lag of signals coming back from Mars?

The purpose of exploration is the expansion of the human spirit.  Economically we make exploit the resources of the lands we explore.  From a survival standpoint the farther we spread the less likely we are to be wiped out by war, an asteroid or plague.  Exploring with robots alone doesn’t accomplish any of this.

USAF Space Plane Test Flight

Original Article

From what I’ve read this is only a technology risk reduction demonstration.  But I’d like to explore the possibilities behind a Space Plane.

It is unlikely that any Space Plane we build today would be capable of orbits much higher than the Shuttle’s or the International Space Station (ISS).  However, within that orbit it can still accomplish a lot.

Clean up Space Junk with a Space Plane

 All the satellites that have been put into orbit over the past 50+ years are beginning to create enough space junk that it is becoming a threat to anything and everything in orbit.  In Low Earth Orbit (LEO) there are pieces of previous satellites which pose a threat to the Shuttle and the ISS.  Even small pieces, pebbles really, moving at orbital speeds can destroy the spacecraft (unmanned and manned alike) that we build today.

Like the Shuttle a Space Plane could deliver payloads to LEO while providing a platform for manned control of the payload.  So a variety of space junk removal techniques could be attempted through manned control.  Ultimately, I think that space junk will have to be cleared via automated spacecraft but perfecting the techniques and tools will be greatly aided by having a person try several techniques while having a view that can only be afforded by being in close proximity.

Theatre specific resources from a Space Plane

 The Space Plane is not being built by NASA for civilian purposes it is being built by the US Air Force.  There are probably several reasons for this.  I’m not in the military and don’t have a lot of insight to this but I assume that at least one of the purposes is to bring resources to a specific combat or surveillance theatre.

We have lots of satellites in orbit but moving them (changing their orbit) is costly and dramatically reduces the life of the spacecraft.  A Space Plane may be capable of entering the appropriate orbit and providing intelligence gathering and sharing functions.

This is hard to gauge though.  It’s not as if the Shuttle can simply be launched at any moment and enter any orbit it likes.  The Space Plane would have significant limitations on its ability to enter the desired orbit.

A Space Plane is key to Space Power

In the 20th century military dominance came through air power.  In the 21st it will be space power.  That means the exploitation, commercially and militarily, of space it’s resources and ultimately it’s vantage point.  Space is the ultimate high ground right now.  Someone will put weapons in space - the advantages are just too great.

Obviously a Space Plane is a potential platform for weapons.  The US doesn’t have to put weapons on the Space Plane in order demonstrate that we can.  For now, that’s really the point.